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RACE TIME CALCULATOR
SERIOUS RACES // BEER & WINE MARATHONS // BASED ON REAL DATA_
RACE DISTANCE
BEST RECENT HM TIME (mm:ss/km or h:mm:ss total)
HM FINISH TIME
h m s
> Your HM time is used as the base predictor. Chester HM split: 1:45 (slightly hot start).
ELEVATION GAIN (metres) m gain
> Big Sur: ~680m. Chester: ~110m. Flat: 0–50m. Each 100m adds ~3–4 mins to a marathon.
TEMPERATURE (°C) °C (ideal ~10–12°C)
TERRAIN
PACING DISCIPLINE 7
> 1 = Chester problem (went out hard, cramped HM 2). 10 = Big Sur discipline (controlled start, negative splits, fast finish).
TARGET: NEGATIVE SPLITS
> Negative splits (second half faster) are 2–4 mins faster on average than even-split strategy.
RACE GOAL
BASE MARATHON TIME (without stops)
h m
> Your clean marathon time. Chester ~3:45. Used to calculate running pace between stops.
TRYING TO WIN / RACE HARD
> If yes: negative splits, no stops, straight race time used.
NUMBER OF STOPS (Belgium: ~20. Medoc: ~21)
PLANNED TIME PER STOP mins  (default 2 min — late stops get +1 min as the fun compounds)
PART OF A THEMED GROUP (STAYING TOGETHER)
> Group solidarity adds ~10 mins but adds immeasurably to the experience.
WEARING A COSTUME
COSTUME QUALITY / CROWD RESPONSE
> Base costume penalty: +10 mins. Excellent = crowd boost offsets some of this. Heavy/wrong = additional penalty.
CARRYING / PLAYING AN INSTRUMENT

> Model calibrated on real race data: Big Sur 2024 (4:00, 680m elevation), Chester × 3, Medoc Bordeaux, Belgium Beer Marathon × 5.
> Predictions are estimates. The universe has opinions. So does La Chouffe.
> reason42/tools_

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